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230621AuCtteePaper7Annex1StrategicRiskRegisterv111

Cairngorms Nation­al Park Author­ity Stra­tegic Risk Register

Audit and Risk Com­mit­tee Paper 7 / Annex 1 21 June 2023

Page 1 of 22

RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Resources: pub­lic sec­tor fin­ances con­strain capa­city to alloc­ate suf­fi­cient resources to deliv­er cor­por­ate plan.A1DCPre­vent­at­ive: Ongo­ing liais­on with Scot­tish Gov­ern­ment high­light­ing achieve­ments of CNPA.
Pre­vent­at­ive: Cor­por­ate plan pri­or­it­ised around anti­cip­ated Scot­tish Gov­ern­ment budget alloc­a­tions, tak­ing on Board expect­a­tion of fund­ing con­straints.
Remedi­al: Focus resource on diver­si­fic­a­tion of income streams to altern­ate, non-pub­lic income gen­er­a­tion.
Remedi­al: Con­tinu­ing to sup­port deliv­ery bod­ies” such as Cairngorms Nature, Cairngorms Trust in secur­ing inward investment.
Risk escal­a­tion reflects Scot­tish Government’s con­tin­ued and heightened con­cerns on for­ward sta­bil­ity of cur­rent fin­an­cial alloc­a­tions; risk of in-year adjust­ments, and risk over future year fund­ing levels.
All mit­ig­at­ing actions in place and operational.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Resourcing: future com­munity led loc­al devel­op­ment (CLLD) fund­ing cur­rently delivered through LEAD­ER, togeth­er with wider fund­ing pre­vi­ously from EU struc­tur­al and agri­cul­tur­al sources is lost and cre­ates a sig­ni­fic­ant gap in our capa­city to deliv­er against our devel­op­ment prioritiesA12.2DCPre­vent­at­ive: pri­or­it­ise engage­ment in con­sulta­tions and events around the future devel­op­ment of struc­tur­al and com­munity fund­ing.
Remedi­al: con­tin­ue to sup­port work of Cairngorms Trust in attract­ing vol­un­tary dona­tions toward com­munity action – although this is likely to remain at a much smal­ler scale for some time.
Remedi­al: con­tin­ue to review oppor­tun­it­ies for fund­ing bids to oth­er non-gov­ern­ment­al fund­ing sources.
Pos­it­ive move­ment con­tinu­ing across policy devel­op­ment areas with­in Scot­tish Gov­ern­ment around the con­tinu­ity of some form of CLLD with 202324 fund­ing alloc­a­tions in place, while lim­ited by cur­rent in-year spend­ing pres­sures. How­ever, oppor­tun­ity to access UK Gov­ern­ment fund­ing to replace EU losses still very unclear. Wider changes to agri-envir­on­ment schemes and impact of change also remains highly uncertain.➡️➡️➡️

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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Staff­ing: addi­tion­al extern­ally fun­ded pro­jects strains staff work­load capa­city with increased risks of stress and reduced morale.A9.3DCPre­vent­at­ive: Stra­tegic and oper­a­tion­al plans for 202223 will be developed with extern­ally fun­ded pro­ject deliv­ery as intrins­ic ele­ments of plans to ensure deliv­ery capa­city is con­sidered fully.
Import­ance of staff man­age­ment and task pri­or­it­isa­tion rein­forced through lead­er­ship meet­ings.
Focus on few­er, lar­ger impact projects.
Addi­tion­al recruit­ment in 2223 to alle­vi­ate key staff pres­sure points com­plete. Fixed term staff exten­sion in place for cur­rent fin­an­cial year. Like­li­hood of risk there­fore declin­ing and risk pro­file there­fore redu­cing. Impact of meas­ures and risk pro­file will con­tin­ue to be closely mon­itored through staff man­age­ment processes.⬆️⬇️⬇️

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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Resourcing: Role as Lead / Account­able body for major pro­grammes (e.g. LEAD­ER, Land­scape Part­ner­ship) has risk of sig­ni­fic­ant fin­an­cial claw­back should expendit­ure prove to be not eli­gible for fund­ing, while CNPA car­ries respons­ib­il­it­ies as employ­er for pro­gramme staff.A11.1DCPre­vent­at­ive: Ensure fin­an­cial con­trols in place for pro­gramme man­age­ment include effect­ive eli­gib­il­ity checks. Test pro­cesses with fun­ders if required and also under­take early intern­al audit checks.
Work­force man­age­ment plans must incor­por­ate pro­gramme staff con­sid­er­a­tions.
Ensure TGLP Man­age­ment and Main­ten­ance con­tracts are all in place to ensure eli­gib­il­ity of invest­ment.
Remedi­al: Util­ise intern­al audit resources
Work has pro­gressed well on clos­ure of LEAD­ER, Tomin­toul and Glen­liv­et and on Badenoch pro­grammes with no issues arising to date. No loc­al issues arising from extern­al audit work on LEAD­ER. Remove risk at this point.⬇️⬇️⬇️

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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Tech­nic­al: Increas­ing ICT depend­ency for effect­ive and effi­cient oper­a­tions is not adequately backed up by ICT sys­tems support.A17DCPre­vent­at­ive: invest in addi­tion­al staff resource.
Deploy timetabled action plan against approved ICT Strategy.
Enhance pro­ject man­age­ment approaches sup­port­ing ICT.
Remedi­al: New ICT Strategy to be developed to reappraise pos­i­tion on IT depend­en­cies and estab­lish a focus for future digit­al devel­op­ment across the Author­ity. Clear action plan­ning to evolve from final ICT stra­tegic dir­ec­tion once agreed.
Added April 2018 Oper­a­tion­al Man­age­ment Group Move­ment into Microsoft 365 deploy­ment and cloud based sys­tems has involved sig­ni­fic­ant work and some dis­rup­tion to staff oper­a­tions.
Intern­al audit work rein­forces need to focus on pro­ject man­age­ment of activ­it­ies both for man­age­ment of pro­cesses and improved organ­isa­tion­al communications.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Tech­nic­al: Cyber secur­ity is inad­equate to address risk of cyber-attack on systemsA18DCPre­vent­at­ive: Imple­ment­a­tion of Scot­tish Gov­ern­ment Cyber Secur­ity Action Plans and intern­al audit recom­mend­a­tions on IT secur­ity.
Ongo­ing review of sys­tems and pro­ced­ures in tan­dem with LLT­NPA.
Rescope arrange­ments through IT Strategy.
Invest in cyber secur­ity soft­ware
Renewed staff training
Added by MT / OMG April 18.
Addi­tion­al cyber secur­ity meas­ures inves­ted in and imple­men­ted.
Aware of increased risks high­lighted by nation­al agen­cies dur­ing COV­ID response.
Cyber secur­ity plus accred­it­a­tion being reapplied for. Review­ing options for fur­ther increased secur­ity measures.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Resourcing: CNPA IT ser­vices are not suf­fi­ciently robust / secure / or well enough spe­cified to sup­port effect­ive and effi­cient ser­vice delivery.A13DCPre­vent­at­ive: We will devel­op and con­sult on the for­ward plans for ICT ser­vice devel­op­ment to ensure these meet ser­vice require­ments.
Com­mis­sioned extern­al review of our IT and data man­age­ment pro­cesses to be imple­men­ted to give assur­ance, with recom­mend­a­tions arising acted upon.
Retained as a risk rather than merged into oth­er IT risks fol­low­ing May 2022 ARC review. Intern­al audit report on IT Strategy sets out key actions in this area of risk man­age­ment around IT Strategy devel­op­ment, pro­ject man­age­ment and cost­ing of IT action plans to be implemented.➡️➡️➡️

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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Repu­ta­tion: One-off, high pro­file incid­ents and / or voci­fer­ous social media cor­res­pond­ents have an undue influ­ence on the Authority’s pos­it­ive reputation.A14.1GMPre­vent­at­ive: Engage­ment and com­mu­nic­a­tions strategy, and stake­hold­er engage­ment will seek to take the front foot on man­aging the Authority’s pos­it­ive, pub­lic repu­ta­tion.
Pre­vent­at­ive: pro­act­ive com­mu­nic­a­tions ini­ti­ated to address any poten­tial incid­ents
Remedi­al: involve­ment in emer­ging NPUK col­lect­ive com­mu­nic­a­tions strategy and cam­paigns which will pro­duce addi­tion­al high pro­file pos­it­ive repu­ta­tion­al impact
Remedi­al: Social media pro­file rep­res­ents an oppor­tun­ity to boost reputation.
Declin­ing assessed risk pro­file over course of last year. Remove from stra­tegic level risk register at this point.➡️⬇️⬇️

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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Resourcing: scale of asset respons­ib­il­it­ies such as for paths, out­door infra­struc­ture is not adequately recog­nised and does not secure adequate for­ward main­ten­ance funding.A16DCRemedi­al: Review of account­ing pro­ced­ures and asset recog­ni­tion policy; review of forth­com­ing account­ing tech­nic­al guid­ance.
Ensure full con­sid­er­a­tion is giv­en in budget reviews.
Pre­vent­at­ive: Cap­it­al bids to gov­ern­ment; altern­ate fund­ing sources such as vol­un­tary giv­ing to be explored more act­ively.
Work on Stra­tegic Tour­ism Vis­it­or Infra­struc­ture Plan to focus action.
Added by MT / OMG April 18.
Sig­ni­fic­ant increase in cap­it­al alloc­a­tion has allowed scope for increased pro­gram­ming of main­ten­ance over 2021 to 2025.
Poten­tial to remove from stra­tegic risk over­sight at this time?
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Page 10 of 22

RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Resources: change in fin­an­cing IT ser­vices and the switch from cap­it­al to rev­en­ue pro­vi­sion places an unman­age­able pres­sure on the Authority’s budget capacity.A20DCRemedi­al: Mon­it­or pat­tern of IT Invest­ment costs as regards the cap­it­al and rev­en­ue split of resourcing require­ments; build impacts into ongo­ing budget delib­er­a­tions with Scot­tish Government.Added by Audit Com­mit­tee 8 March 2019 fol­low­ing deep dive” IT risk review.
Risk remains live as we imple­ment a refreshed ICT Strategy and move to more cloud / ser­vice solu­tions.
While there was suf­fi­cient budget cov­er for the ini­tial imple­ment­a­tion of cloud based ser­vices in 2122, the final pos­i­tion will crys­tal­lise over 2223 and into the 2324 budget.
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Page 11 of 22

RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Repu­ta­tion: the Author­ity is not per­ceived to be appro­pri­ately address­ing the poten­tial for con­flict between 4 stat­utory aims.A21GMPre­vent­at­ive: Ensure Board policy papers and Plan­ning Com­mit­tee papers are expli­cit in recog­nising stra­tegic policy con­flicts between 4 stat­utory aims and in address­ing the eval­u­ation of any poten­tial con­flict.
Pre­vent­at­ive: ensure clar­ity on this mat­ter is estab­lished through high level NPPP and Cor­por­ate Plan documents
Added by Audit Com­mit­tee 8 March 2019 fol­low­ing intern­al audit report on stra­tegic plan­ning pro­cesses.
NPPP devel­op­ment pro­cess now com­plete.
Con­sidered as part of ongo­ing nation­al parks con­sulta­tion where this can also be under­pinned.
Remove on basis of declin­ing risk profile.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Tech­nic­al: Busi­ness Con­tinu­ity Plans (BCP) are inad­equate to deal with sig­ni­fic­ant impacts to nor­mal work­ing arrange­ments and res­ult in ser­vice failure.A22DCPre­vent­at­ive: Over­haul of BCP developed in 2014 with report­ing on devel­op­ment of plans through Man­age­ment Team and Audit and Risk Com­mit­tee. Test BCP arrange­ments once plan in place and com­mu­nic­ated.
Remedi­al: intern­al audit review of COVID19 over winter 2021 will lead into les­sons learned on wider BCP.
Added by Audit Com­mit­tee May 2019 fol­low­ing intern­al audit review of BCP.
Delay in final­isa­tion of BCP doc­u­ment­a­tion itself as we focus on estab­lish­ment of hybrid work­ing arrange­ments post COV­ID.
How­ever, work on BCP has con­sid­er­ably assisted in roll out of ini­tial and ongo­ing responses to Coronavir­us pan­dem­ic with evid­ence, includ­ing very pos­it­ive staff feed­back, that BCP imple­ment­a­tion has been effective.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Stra­tegic Deliv­ery: the Authority’s range of powers com­bined with stra­tegic part­ner­ships is insuf­fi­cient to deliv­er out­comes on wild­life crimeA24AFRemedi­al: use NPPP devel­op­ment pro­cesses to explore part­ner­ship atti­tudes, engage­ment and powers which they may add to the cur­rent con­trols.
Pre­vent­at­ive: explore poten­tial for licen­cing or oth­er reg­u­lat­ory arrange­ments to con­trib­ute to more effect­ive con­trol frame­work; Track­er / satel­lite mon­it­or­ing deployment;
Added by SMT risk review May 2021
Licen­cing schemes com­ing into oper­a­tion and track­ers in place for some rap­tors.
Declin­ing risk profile.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Stra­tegic Deliv­ery: The Authority’s Peat­land Pro­gramme out­comes may be adversely impacted by a lack of con­tract­or capa­city and / or lack of land man­ager engagementA25AFPre­vent­at­ive: inter­ac­tion with skills and eco­nom­ic devel­op­ment agen­cies to high­light the prob­lems of con­tract­or capa­city and scale of future pro­gramme; Pre­vent­at­ive: close liais­on with land man­age­ment com­munity around pro­gramme and par­ti­cip­a­tion. Design of sup­port.
Remedi­al: phas­ing of works to act on more straight­for­ward, less tech­nic­al areas to assist new con­tract­ors enter mar­ket and devel­op skills and under­stand­ing; repro­file cap­it­al expendit­ure to recog­nise more expens­ive, more com­plex pro­jects com­ing toward end of fund­ing period.
Added by SMT risk review May 2021
Recent evid­ence sug­gests increased level of response to peat­land tenders and evid­ence of some new entrants to this mar­ket.
Some ongo­ing evid­ence of suc­cess of risk mit­ig­a­tion meas­ures, with pro­gramme on tar­get for deliv­ery of area of res­tor­a­tion for second year in succession.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Repu­ta­tion­al: key com­mu­nic­a­tions activ­it­ies, mes­saging and (in some cases) brand aware­ness rais­ing can be depend­ent on part­ner col­lab­or­a­tion rather than under dir­ect con­trol, with poten­tial for inef­fect­ive or dis­join­ted com­mu­nic­a­tion outcomes.A26GMPre­vent­at­ive: agree part­ner­ship frame­works that expli­citly set out expect­a­tions and out­comes of col­lab­or­at­ive activ­it­ies and estab­lish adequate con­trol mech­an­isms; Pre­vent­at­ive: spe­cific­ally mon­it­or and feed­back on com­mu­nic­a­tions effect­ive­ness where there are part­ner­ship depend­en­cies
Remedi­al: con­duct review meet­ings which track and doc­u­ment pro­gress and escal­ate and issues arising to appro­pri­ate gov­ernance groups.
Remedi­al: review brand man­age­ment and approaches to part­ner­ship link­ages through brand
Added by SMT risk review May 2021.
Iden­ti­fied as a stable risk at present rather than escal­at­ing, while recog­nised that work remains to be under­taken around these pre­vent­at­ive and remedi­al mit­ig­a­tion measures.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Stra­tegic deliv­ery: approaches to con­ser­va­tion and pro­tec­tion of endangered spe­cies may be insuf­fi­cient to achieve asso­ci­ated stra­tegic outcomesA27AFRemedi­al: review cur­rent approaches in con­text of rel­ev­ant data sources to determ­ine adequacy of cur­rent approaches.
Remedi­al: use NPPP deliv­ery pro­cesses to test poten­tial for enhanced / revised approaches to con­ser­va­tion and pro­tec­tion of endangered species
Added by SMT risk review May 2021.
Iden­ti­fied as a stable risk at present rather than escal­at­ing, while recog­nised that work remains to be under­taken or is ongo­ing around these pre­vent­at­ive and remedi­al mit­ig­a­tion measures.
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Staff­ing: deliv­ery of key out­comes is impacted by staff turnover, par­tic­u­larly in pro­ject teams.A28DCPre­vent­at­ive: con­sider HR solu­tions to encour­age reten­tion
Remedi­al: ensure suc­ces­sion plan­ning and oper­a­tion­al risk registers cov­er this stra­tegic risk
Added fol­low­ing Board reflec­tion on impact of turnover in TGLP Pro­ject.
Fixed term con­tracts exten­ded through fin­an­cial year 202324 with longer term review pending fol­low­ing fund­ing and budget decisions in late 2023.
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RiskRefRespMit­ig­a­tionCom­mentsTrend May 22Trend Nov 22Trend May 23
Staff­ing: increas­ingly com­pet­it­ive and restric­ted recruit­ment cli­mate pre­vents staff with the required exper­i­ence and skill sets being securedA29DCPre­vent­at­ive: focus on train­ing and devel­op­ment and intern­al suc­ces­sion plan­ning, in turn bring­ing recruit­ment into less exper­i­enced / less highly skilled mar­kets; con­sider job design and flex­ib­il­ity of offer regard­ing part-time / job share.
Remedi­al: con­tin­gency plan­ning for example around out-sourcing of aspects of delivery.
Added by SMT review 18 Jan 22. Evid­ence of redu­cing num­ber of applic­ants and can­did­ate lists for vacan­cies ongo­ing, while trend in unsuc­cess­ful recruit­ment exer­cises has been acted on with no recent unsuc­cess­ful recruitment.➡️➡️⬇️

18 live stra­tegic risks (pre­vi­ously 18); 3 risks iden­ti­fied for clos­ure on con­sist­ent down­ward risk trend; 2 fur­ther risks recom­men­ded for clos­ure giv­en sig­ni­fic­ant down­ward trend in last 6 months.

Notes:

  • Aim to keep stra­tegic risk register to around 15 stra­tegic risks
  • Cross-cut­ting risks impact poten­tially through­out all priorities
  • Stra­tegic Risks around cor­por­ate pri­or­it­ies focus on risk impacts through­out each of the three themes – hence require a coordin­ated over­view at Dir­ect­or / Exec­ut­ive level. Not expect­ing a stra­tegic risk against each spe­cif­ic Cor­por­ate Plan priority.
  • More spe­cif­ic risks are expec­ted to be cap­tured in more oper­a­tion­al risk registers – e.g. risk man­age­ment around deliv­ery of office extension.
  • Full risk register the col­lect­ive respons­ib­il­ity of full MT to man­age, how­ever each risk alloc­ated to one spe­cif­ic mem­ber of the team to take lead responsibility.

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Aim through mit­ig­a­tion to reduce Like­li­hood (LL) mul­ti­plied by Impact (IM) risk score to below 10 as accept­able risk value. Ref­er­ence key: A” items are risks impact­ing on all aspects of the Cor­por­ate Plan; C” items are Con­ser­va­tion only risks; V” risks relate spe­cific­ally to Vis­it­or Exper­i­ence; L” risk relate to Land Man­age­ment; R” risks relate to Rur­al Devel­op­ment risks.

Page 19 of 22

Key

  • Man­aged risk (green down­ward arrow in greyed-out field): risk assess­ment that risk is effect­ively man­aged and no longer a stra­tegic risk pos­ing poten­tial to inhib­it achieve­ment of cor­por­ate stra­tegic object­ives. Risk can be removed from risk register.
  • Lower­ing risk (green down­ward arrow): risk impact and / or like­li­hood is declin­ing res­ult­ing in over­all stra­tegic risk assess­ment of mit­ig­a­tion actions effect­ive with ongo­ing mon­it­or­ing of risk envir­on­ment still required.
  • Increas­ing risk low to medi­um: Stra­tegic risk pre­vi­ously assessed as low now assessed as escal­at­ing, with increased like­li­hood and / or impact as a con­sequence of change in stra­tegic envir­on­ment and / or iden­ti­fic­a­tion of new risk implic­a­tions. May mer­it revised mit­ig­a­tion action.
  • Stat­ic risk (amber hori­zont­al arrow): risk impact and like­li­hood is stable. Over­all stra­tegic risk assess­ment is stable indic­at­ing that stra­tegic risk remains, requir­ing ongo­ing man­age­ment and con­tin­ued imple­ment­a­tion of pro­posed mit­ig­a­tion and controls.
  • Decreas­ing risk from High to medi­um level (amber down­ward arrow). Stra­tegic risk pre­vi­ously assessed as high now assessed as hav­ing reduced like­li­hood and / or impact as a con­sequence of risk mit­ig­a­tion action.
  • Increas­ing risk (red upward arrow): risk impact and / or like­li­hood is increas­ing res­ult­ing in increas­ing risk of achieve­ment of stra­tegic object­ives being inhib­ited. Man­age­ment action, and pos­sibly resource invest­ment, required to address risk envir­on­ment and pos­sibly intro­duce new mit­ig­a­tion action, in order to reduce risk impact and / or likelihood.

Page 20 of 22

Ver­sion Control

  • 3.0 Board Cycle Decem­ber 2019
  • 3.0 Board adop­ted ver­sion June 2019 for MT / OMG review
  • 3.1 Audit Com­mit­tee review 6 Septem­ber 2019
  • 3.2 Man­age­ment Team Novem­ber 2019
  • 4.0 Board Cycle Jan to Jun 2020
  • 4.0 Draft fol­low­ing Board con­sid­er­a­tion Decem­ber 2019
  • 4.1 To Audit and Risk Com­mit­tee March 2020
  • 5.0 Board Cycle July to Sep 2020
  • 5.1 Sep 20 Board meet­ing draft for MT / OMG review
  • 5.2 Sep 20 Board meet­ing fol­low­ing MT / OMG edits (WBW)
  • 6.0 Board Cycle Octo­ber 20 to Decem­ber 20
  • 6.1 ARC Novem­ber 20 first draft
  • 7.0 Board Cycle Janu­ary to June 2021
  • 7.0 ARC April 2021 and SMT May 2021
  • 7.1 Board June 2021
  • 8.0 Board Cycle Decem­ber 2021
  • 8.0 To SMT 24 Aug 21
  • 8.1 SMT 24 Aug 21 Updates
  • 8.2 SMT 18 Jan 22 review and updated
  • 8.3 ARC review 11 Feb 22
  • 9.0 Board Cycle March 2022
  • 9.0 Draft for Board fol­low­ing ARC review
  • 9.1 SMT Review May 22

Page 21 of 22

  • 10.1 SMT review Nov 22 pri­or to ARC 5 Dec.
  • 10.2 ARC present­a­tion fol­low­ing SMT review 22 Nov.

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