240322CNPABdPaper2_BudgetPosition2024-25
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For discussion Title: Cairngorms National Park Authority 2024⁄25 budget and operational plan Prepared by: Louise Allen, Head of Finance and Corporate Operations
Purpose
This paper sets out the Park Authority’s proposed budget for the 2024⁄25 financial year.
The paper provides the Board with the opportunity to consider the overall budget position together with the impact of any key assumptions made in establishing budget estimates.
The paper also presents the proposed operational plan for 2024⁄25 to allow members to scrutinise and take assurance on the deployment of available resources in providing a balanced approach to delivery of the Park Authority’s agreed strategic objectives set out in the approved National Park Partnership Plan and Corporate Plan.
Recommendations The Board is invited to: a) approve the Cairngorms National Park Authority budget and operational plan for 2024⁄25 as set out in this paper.
Overview of draft 2024⁄25 budget position
- The budget sets out the Authority’s proposal for the application of core resources provided by Scottish Government through the National Parks’ budget and through other Scottish Government budgets for peatland restoration, community led local development (CLLD) and nature recovery. In addition, 2024⁄25 is the first full year of the Cairngorms 2030 (C2030) programme, funded by the National Lottery Heritage Fund (NLHF). Delivery against this major project has been integrated into the budget for the year.
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The Park Authority has yet to receive a final grant award letter for 2024⁄25 from Scottish Government. We also await final notification of the allocation for grants in support of our peatland restoration work, and for CLLD.
Grant-in-aid for 2024⁄25 is set to increase by £0.977 million from £8.144m to £9.121m, a 12% increase in cash funding allocated to the Cairngorms National Park Authority by Scottish Government for the coming financial year.
Our understanding is that the allocations of grant-in-aid, of funding for peatland restoration and of Nature Restoration funding are relatively final and secure, pending finalisation and receipt of grant award letters.
Funding for CLLD is still to be finalised, and the figure of £300k included in the budget represents our best estimate; we await decisions from Scottish Government on both the total funding available for CLLD, and how it will be allocated across partner bodies. This presents very limited risk to the overall budget position presented. The minimum value of grant financing for staff salaries has been confirmed, covering these staff commitments. Any variation in assumed income may therefore be equally offset by varying the provision available for CLLD funding awards.
This position is relatively common at this point in setting the Park Authority’s budget for the year ahead. As part of our ongoing budget monitoring activity through the year, we will consider the sufficiency of income alongside the management of expenditure.
Other sources of income (£0.250m) included in the draft budget position are:
- Planning fees, and
- Bank interest (£0.070m)
The overview of the draft budget position for 2024⁄25 is presented in Appendix 1; this position includes both operational plan activities and delivery of the Cairngorms 2030 project. It shows a balanced position. Appendix 2 provides a comparison of the proposed 2024⁄25 budget with the approved budget for 2023⁄24.
As is clear from Appendix 2, the allocation of Grant-in-Aid has increased from £8.144m to £9.121m (£0.977m 12%). However, the increase of close to £1m is
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weighted towards capital funds (£0.710m). Indeed, capital allocations have increased from £0.600m in 2022⁄23 to £1.810m in 2024⁄25. Our ability to take advantage of this funding has been key to budget development for 2024⁄25.
To date we have used capital (CDEL) allocations to fund the purchase of fixed assets (CDEL-direct), to develop pathways and to support landscape restoration projects as an intermediary providing grant support to landowners and other public bodies (CDEL-indirect). Typically, projects funded through CDEL-indirect, involve physical alteration of the landscape, such as building or improving pathways, the work involved in restoration of peatland, and the management of catchments. The sums involved, (excluding peatland restoration, which has its own ring-fenced funding allocation) have been around £0.600m per annum.
Our response to the change in weighting of the budget towards capital funding has included:
- A proposal to establish a Climate Adaptation fund providing financial resources to grant applicants.
- Increasing the capital allocation to our aims around the accessible path and cycle network.
- The design of nature and conservation activities to include more capital works.
Information on the proposed budget for staff salaries is provided in paragraphs 19 to 22 below. Staffing costs for 2024⁄25 (excluding any potential vacancy savings) account for 41% of the total operational plan income shown of £13.701m. In the budget for 2023⁄24 the like-for-like costs were 38% of total operational plan income (£13.663m). Contributors to the increase in staffing costs year on year include:
- 2024⁄25 pay award £0.333m
- Enforced increase in employer pension contributions £0.77m
It should be noted that for budget control purposes, the operational plan investment in Nature and Conservation actions has been split across the operational plan budget line and a separate Nature Restoration Fund line to ensure the appropriate application of the earmarked nature recovery grant. Total investment for Nature and Conservation in Appendix 2 is £0.961m for 2024⁄25 (Nature restoration £0.450m plus Nature and climate £0.511m) compared with £0.818m in the previous year.
Similarly, investment in the “People” actions of the Corporate and Operational Plans stems from funding through both the core National Parks grant and earmarked
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Community Led Local Development grants on which the Park Authority partners with the Cairngorms Trust as Accountable Body. Again, for budget control purposes, these two strands of activity have been developed separately in the budget figures. Total investment in the People elements of the Park Authority’s plans total £0.533m for 2024⁄25, compared with £0.607m in the prior year.
- The following sections present some specific points of estimate and judgement in the development of these budget estimates for consideration by the Board. These aspects of estimation and assumption have previously been considered by the Board’s Resources Committee at its meeting on 26 January 2023.
Staffing Investment
- Staffing levels a) The Park Authority’s establishment will increase significantly in 2024⁄25. There will be a need to provide resource to the Cairngorms 2030 (C2030) project (14 FTE) as highlighted in the paper presented to the board in June 2023 prior to submission of the C2030 bid. However, most of the cost of new posts established will be recoverable through the project. In addition, cost recovery will be available through C2030 for existing posts; these staff have been paid for from core funds during the gap between the end of the development phase of the project, and the start of the delivery phase. The full year cost (including prospective pay award) of new C2030 posts is estimated at £0.568m, with existing C2030 funded posts created in the development phase and continuing into the delivery phase adding a further £0.520m (£1.088m in total). These costs are recoverable from the C2030 programme budget and are reported to members for transparency – they do not impact on the resource cover to be provided from our grant-in-aid allocations.
b) There are three vacancies (3FTE) that we have modelled at present for recruitment in 2024⁄25 and provided for within the staffing budget. The full year cost of the provision for recruitment into these vacancies, which support delivery of planning and corporate services, is estimated at £0.159m. Our usual approach to recruitment will be applied, with a business case for recruitment into these vacancies tested prior to any recruitment, as part of our standard processes; any decision not to take forward the recruitment process will allow for reallocation of budgets elsewhere.
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- 2024⁄25 pay considerations a) Scottish Government has developed a 2‑year approach to its own main award. There is pressure on the Authority to follow suit with awards over two years that, taken together, provide similar remuneration levels to the Scottish Government’s main award.
b) A key point of estimate and judgement therefore concerns the provisions made for the 2024⁄25 pay award. It is anticipated that the award will vary amongst the salary bandings and will be a combination of fixed sums and percentage increases.
c) The budget includes a pay award impact of £0.333m (excluding costs rechargeable through C2030) which, combined with the award made in 2023⁄24, is designed to achieve an increase averaging around 10% for staff over the 2 years from April 2023 to March 2025. This will be broadly in line with the overall impact of the Scottish Government Main Group settlement already agreed with staff and their unions, and we understand in keeping with the general approach of other public bodies in our sector. We await follow up pay policy advice from Scottish Government. A more detailed update on the potential pay award for 2024⁄25 will be presented in the coming months to the Board’s Resources Committee in accordance with our established, agreed governance practices, prior to commencing consultation on this matter with the staff group and their staff and union representatives, through our Staff Consultative Forum.
Breakdown of total payroll budget 2024⁄25 including posts recovered from third party income | | £m| | —- | —- | |Full year cost of existing staff pre 2024⁄25 award | 5.770 | |Increase in employer pension rate | 0.077 | |Award 2024⁄25 | 0.333| |Cost of existing staff | 6.180 | |Vacancies for recruitment Cairngorms National Park Authority | 0.159| |New posts C2030 | 0.568 | |Total budget estimate 2024⁄25 | 6.907|
- Payroll recoveries
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a) Estimates have been made of the levels of staff payroll recoveries from external funding sources. Current estimates are for recoveries through C2030 of £1.088m in 2024⁄25.
b) A proportion of the salary costs of staff engaged on Community Led Local Development (CLLD) will also be recoverable, assuming that CLLD funding will be awarded in broadly the same amount for the coming year and with the same allowances for administration and animation costs: salary costs of £0.096m are budgeted, of which around £0.067m are expected to be recovered, leaving a cost of around £0.029 to be met by the Authority.
Breakdown of recoverable payroll costs 2024⁄25 | |£m| | —- | —- | |Existing posts C2030 | 0.520| |New posts C2030 | 0.568 | |Total C2030 | 1.088| |CLLD posts | 0.067 | |Total recoverable | 1.154|
- Vacancy savings and recruitment delays a) In arriving at budget estimates for staffing, we make an estimate of payroll savings that may be achieved over the course of the year from staff turnover and management of vacant posts. The payroll budget is not therefore set to cover full establishment. Rather, it is adjusted to allow for a level of expected vacancies through turnover and recruitment timetables.
b) The estimates presented provide for a 1% saving in payroll for staff costs that are not recoverable from other sources of income. This provides for £0.071m of reduction in the value of payroll that would otherwise be budgeted for. This estimate of possible savings is significantly lower than was applied in 2023⁄24 (5% of payroll budget, £248k). Vacancy savings have not been realised as anticipated during 2023⁄24 and, given the opportunities provided by C2030 and ongoing Park Partnership Plan activities, significant staff turnover is not anticipated for 2024⁄25. This reduction in anticipated vacancy savings has therefore contributed significantly to the increase in staff budget for 2024⁄25 as compared to the prior year.
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c) In addition, a small allowance has been made for savings arising from recruitment delays. It has been assumed that the three Cairngorms National Park Authority vacant posts will not be filled until the summer of 2024, saving a quarter of the year’s salary costs (£0.056). In addition, payroll savings may be available if staff currently in core posts are appointed to C2030 roles, and their original post is not backfilled. Further consideration will be given to this option and could lead to savings of between £50k and £185k if required; a prudent approach has been adopted, and no allowance has been made for this potential saving in the budget presented.
d) Using this modelling, the net cost for staff salaries in 2024⁄25 is therefore £5,626m:
£m | |
---|---|
Total budget estimate 2024⁄25 | 6.907 |
Total recoverable payroll costs | (1.154) |
5.753 | |
Allowance for possible recruitment delays | (0.056) |
5.697 | |
Allowance for vacancy savings | (0.071) |
Net cost for staff salaries in 2024⁄25 | 5.626 |
Inflationary impacts and running costs
The budget for running costs has been built on the outturn forecast for 2023⁄24. Inflationary increases of 3% have been applied, reflecting the Bank of England’s estimates that inflation will fall from its current level of 4.6% to a target level of 2%. The budget approach represents an expectation of the average rate over the course of the financial year. An increase of 0.5% in the budgeted rate is equivalent to increased costs of £4.5k; the budget presented would remain in balance if the average inflation rate were to increase to 3.5%.
Over the course of 2023⁄24 we have experienced noticeable pressure on the budgets for power and mileage. The budget for 2024⁄25 reflects these increases as well as an inflationary uplift.
Software licences are now an essential part of the organisation’s infrastructure, with our core programmes available only as ‘Software As A Service’ (SAAS). The increase
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in staffing levels and the need for applications with greater functionality (e.g. Microsoft Project for project management) is resulting in higher costs year on year.
An allocation of £0.045m has been made to provide scope for additional procurement guidance required as a result of the anticipated increase in procurement and contracting.
Efficiency savings a) It is likely that the requirement to achieve a 5% efficiency saving (£0.367m) will be included in grant award letters. Subject to the terms of this requirement being clarified, the current understanding is that the efficiency savings requirements will be met by containing ongoing inflationary increases and managing staff vacancies where this is possible. The table below outlines how this might be achieved:
£’000 | |
---|---|
Vacancy savings | 71 |
Delayed recruitment | 56 |
Delay in backfilling for staff appointed to C2030 | 159 |
Containment of inflationary increases | 8 |
Review of IT and shared services | 73 |
367 |
Operational plan investment
The full operational plan, flowing from the core objectives of the Corporate Plan, is set out at Appendix 3 to this paper.
The operational plan covers a huge range of investment by the Park Authority in the National Park. Two elements to highlight to the board are the Climate Adaptation Fund and the Red Deer Hind Incentive Scheme.
Climate Adaptation Fund This fund will help with capital investment in climate adaptation and will be open to individual businesses, incorporated community bodies, registered charities and business associations. Climate change adaptation is about responding to the changes that we have seen in our climate over the last few decades, and preparing
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for the challenges that we will face as our climate continues to change. The fund will have four guiding principles:
a) Adaptation – projects will contribute to climate adaptation within the Cairngorms National Park that help deliver the national Climate Change Adaptation Programme.
b) Partnership Plan Outcomes – projects will contribute to the outcomes of the National Park Partnership Plan
c) Nature Based Solutions – projects will promote nature-based solutions and green engineering to help adapt to climate change effects, contributing to habitat and species recovery in the National Park.
d) Economy – Projects will endeavour to maximise their contribution to local employment and economic activity within the National Park.
Red Deer Hind Incentive Scheme The Park Authority is developing a two-year trial to incentivise increased red deer hind culls in the National Park. Operational details will be discussed with Deer Management Groups in the Park during May with the scheme starting before the end of the female hind close season. This will be funded through the Nature Restoration Fund.
Appendix 2 highlights the increase in the Park Authority’s financial contribution to the delivery phase of the C2030 Programme. The full programme contribution to the C2030 programme has been set at £2.250m over the 5 years of the project (£0.450m per annum) and this secures additional cash funding of £19m over the 5 years of delivery.
In line with recent years, the operational plan has been budgeted without “over- programming”. The total value of the operational plan is established within the parameters of total income expected to be available at the commencement of the financial year. No additional provision has been made for slippage over the course of the year through budgeting for a greater value of operational plan investments than are capable of being covered by funding levels. This is a prudent approach, given the various uncertainties in income levels and expenditure pressures in the coming year. If slippage or underspend arises in any projects or budget areas, management action
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can be taken to reallocate available resources to priority areas of investment or to cover other emerging budget pressures.
- Leverage a) The Park Authority continues to secure significant leverage in inward investment to the Cairngorms through its deployment of resources in contributions to partnership projects and in securing grant funding from non-government sources. Significant leverage over 2024⁄25 will continue to come from the National Lottery Heritage Fund (NLHF) through the Cairngorms 2030 Programme. A summary of the leverage position established by the Authority’s successful ongoing relationship with NLHF is shown below:
Project/programme funding | 2024⁄25 budget proposals £’000 | 2023⁄24 budget £’000 | Variance £’000 |
---|---|---|---|
Cairngorms Capercaillie Project | - | 556 | (556) |
Cairngorms 2030 (based on cash flow projections) | 2,520 | 1,365 | 1,155 |
Other significant income under management | 2,520 | 1,921 | 599 |
Scottish Government and other core income | 13,701 | 13,663 | 38 |
Total income under management | 16,221 | 15,584 | 637 |
b) The amount of funding anticipated in 2024⁄25 (£2,520) is 13% of the total cash receivable across the 5 years of the programme. The twenty projects within the programme are of varying scale, with some of the larger projects (particularly those involving construction activities) planned into the later years of the programme.
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Risk
Budget responses to the live risks on the strategic risk register are shown in Appendix 4.
Financial risks inherent in the budget presented include the following:
Budget area | Value £’000 | Nature of risk |
---|---|---|
Funding | ||
Grant-in aid | 9,121 | |
Peatland | 3,580 | Formal confirmation awaited |
Nature Restoration | 450 | |
CLLD | 300 | |
Other income | 250 | Other income not assured |
Staff costs | ||
Pay award impact | 333 | Depends on SG pay policy and stakeholder agreement |
Staffing levels vacancies for recruitment | 159 | Business case to be tested prior to recruitment; cost depends on when/if posts filled |
Vacancy savings – staff turnover | (71) | Turnover cannot be predicted with certainty |
Vacancy savings — recruitment delays | (56) | Commencement date of new posts uncertain |
Impact of inflation | 9 | Each 1% increase in inflation poses a £9k risk to budget management |
CDEL proposals | ||
Climate adaptation fund | 360 | Fund may be under/over-subscribed |
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- Next steps a) Following board consideration and approval of a budget for 2024⁄25, budget allocations will be confirmed to budget holders to allow plans for delivery over the coming financial year to commence.
b) We will continue to provide budget monitoring reports to the Board’s Resources Committee over the course of the year ahead, identifying any significant budget variations and action in managing those variations.
Louise Allen louiseallen@cairngorms.co.uk
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Appendix 1 – Overview of 2024⁄25 budget development
Operational Plan | C2030 | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resource £’000 | Capital £’000 | Resource £’000 | Capital £’000 | £’000 | |
Income | |||||
National Parks Grant in Aid — Resource | 7,311 | 7,311 | |||
National Parks Grant in Aid — Capital | 1,810 | 1,810 | |||
Peatland grant — capital | 3,000 | 3,000 | |||
Peatland grant — resource — staff | 580 | 580 | |||
Nature Restoration Fund | 450 | 450 | |||
CLLD | 300 | 300 | |||
Cairngorms 2030 programme funding | 1,725 | 795 | 2,520 | ||
Other income | 250 | 250 | |||
Total income | 8,441 | 5,260 | 1,725 | 795 | 16,221 |
Expenditure | |||||
Operational plan | |||||
Climate adaptation fund | 10 | 360 | 370 | ||
Peatland programme | 50 | 3,000 | 3,050 | ||
Nature Restoration Fund | 450 | 450 | |||
Nature | 299 | 212 | 120 | 373 | 1,004 |
People | 290 | 231 | 23 | 543 | |
Place | 420 | 440 | 206 | 381 | 1,447 |
Comms | 166 | 60 | 226 | ||
CLLD | 150 | 93 | 243 | ||
Corporate | 257 | 135 | 55 | 18 | 465 |
Programme contributions | 450 | 450 | |||
1,642 | 5,200 | 612 | 795 | 8,249 | |
Running costs | |||||
Board compensation | 192 | 192 | |||
Staff compensation | 5,626 | 1,088 | 6,714 | ||
Other board costs | 37 | 37 | |||
Other staff costs | 226 | 25 | 251 | ||
Facilities | 373 | 373 | |||
Capitalisation of leases | 60 | 60 | |||
IT and professional | 346 | 346 | |||
6,799 | 60 | 1,113 | 0 | 7,973 | |
Total expenditure | 8,441 | 5,260 | 1,725 | 795 | 16,221 |
Surplus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Appendix 2 – 2024⁄25 budget proposal compared to prior year budget
2024⁄25 Budget proposal £’000 | 2023⁄24 Approved budget £’000 | Movement increase/(reduction) £’000 | |
---|---|---|---|
Income | |||
National Parks Grant in Aid — Resource | 7,311 | 7,044 | 267 4% increase in resource allocation |
National Parks Grant in Aid — Capital | 1,810 | 1,100 | 710 65% increase in capital allocation |
Peatland grant — capital | 3,000 | 4,143 | (1,143) Reduction in allocation across all peatland restoration delivery partners |
Peatland grant — resource — staff | 580 | 614 | (34) |
Nature Restoration Fund | 450 | 250 | 200 Additional £50k allocated mid-year 2023; Red Hind Incentive fund |
CLLD | 300 | 330 | (30) Best estimate of likely award |
Cairngorms 2030 programme funding | 2,520 | - | 2,520 First full year of the programme |
Other income | 250 | 182 | 68 Additional bank interest |
Total income | 16,221 | 13,663 | 2,558 |
Expenditure | |||
Operational plan | |||
Climate adaptation fund | 370 | - | 370 New initiative for 2024⁄25 |
Nature Restoration Fund | 450 | 250 | 200 Red Hind Incentive fund payments |
Peatland programme | 3,050 | 4,328 | (1,278) Reduction in delivery appropriate to grant allocation |
Nature | 511 | 568 | (57) |
CLLD | 300 | 300 | 0 |
Less cost of CLLD staff included in running costs | (57) | (54) | (3) |
Cairngorms 2030 programme | 1,407 | - | 1,407 First full year of the programme |
People | 290 | 307 | (17) |
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£’000 | £’000 | £’000 | |
---|---|---|---|
Place | 860 | 865 | (5) |
Comms | 226 | 198 | 28 |
Corporate | 392 | 598 | (206) Significant level of one-off expenditure in 2023⁄24 |
Programme contributions | 450 | 285 | 165 Agreed increase in contribution during delivery phase |
8,099 | 7,645 | 454 | |
Running costs | |||
Board compensation | 192 | 192 | (0) |
Staff compensation | 5,697 | 5,143 | 554 Pay award/increased e’er pension contributions |
Anticipated saving through vacancy management | (71) | (248) | 177 |
Other staff and board costs | 263 | 164 | 99 Travel and subsistence/training costs |
Facilities | 373 | 520 | (147) Change in accounting treatment of leases |
Capitalisation of leases | 60 | - | 60 |
IT and professional | 346 | 261 | 85 Increase in legal fees and internal audit fees |
Cairngorms 2030 programme | 1,113 | - | 1,113 First full year of the programme |
7,972 | 6,032 | 1,940 | |
Total expenditure | 16,221 | 13,677 | 2,544 |
Surplus | 0 | (14) | 14 |
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Appendix 3 – Operational plan | Corporate plan Aim | Park Authority delivery | Thumbnail sketch | Resource | Financial requirements Capital | NRF | C2030 | Operational plan | Staff resource C2030 | | —- | —- | —- | —- | —- | —- | —- | —- | —- | | A1 | Net zero Delivering baseline report, monitor and annually report on progress towards CNP achieving net-zero and subsequently acting as a carbon sink Lead on delivering Cairngorms 2030, empowering people to contribute to net zero ambitions | Climate Adaptation Fund — See Para 26 See cairngorms 2030 programme | 10,000 | 360,000 | | | 0.3 | | | A2 | Woodland expansion Deliver 1,000 ha of new or expanded woodland with new and innovative uses of the Forest Grant Scheme as part of Cairngorms 2030. Promote and administer a Woodland Challenge Fund to support land managers in the preparation of FGS applications. | Two woodland creation schemes are in preparation on Atholl Estates. These will enhance biodiversity and landscape around Glen Fender and Dalnamein. This funding is designed to reduce the cost of developing woodland creation proposals by funding some surveys and the creation of plans. | 10,000 | | | | Funding given directly to partners | 1.0 | | A3 | Peatland restoration Support and finance the restoration of peatland, with 6,500 hectares restored by 2027 | We aim to run at least 12 peatland restoration projects across the Park in 2024 – 25. Within these projects we aim to bring some 1500ha of peatland under restoration. | 50,000 | 3,000,000 | | | 8.0 | |
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Corporate plan Aim | Park Authority delivery | Thumbnail sketch | Resource | Financial requirements Capital | NRF | C2030 | Operational plan | Staff resource C2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A4 | Deer and herbivore impacts Work with Deer Management Groups, as part of Cairngorms 2030, to deliver strategic land management plans to support a reduction in deer numbers. Investigate and trial models which achieve policy outcomes and retain skills and employment in the sector Cairngorms 2030 3 Nature Recovery | Deer reductions will be achieved in some areas of the Park through a Section 7 Agreement. We will also seek to incentivise deer reductions through a venison subsidy scheme. Red Deer Hind Incentive Scheme see para 26 | 5,000 150,000 | 200,000 | 0.8 | |||
A5 | Moorland management Lead the East Cairngorms Moorland Partnership as a demonstration of sustainable moorland management delivering both public and private interests. | We will fund projects which enhance moorland management and biodiversity within ECMP. | 10,000 | 30,000 | 0.6 | |||
A6 | Gamebird management Establish baseline and assess impact of gamebird releases on native biodiversity. Produce report & recommendations on potential options based on impact assessment. | A partnership project with GWCT is underway to determine numbers of gamebirds released within 6 catchments in the Park. Further work in subsequent years will seek to determine the ecological and socio-economic impacts of those releases. | 5,000 | 0.2 | ||||
A7 | Fire management |
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