Audit and Risk Committee meeting - Paper 1 annex 2: C2030 risk register - 14 November 2025
Job title: Head of Cairngorms 2030 Date of last risk review: 22-Feb-24
Audit and Risk Committee Cairngorms 2030: Programme risk Period: Q3 2024 Likely (High): 4 Almost Certain: 5
| Risk ID No.: | Date | Risk Description | Impact Description | Impact Level | Probability Level | Priority Level | Trend | Mitigation Strategy | Q1 25 | Q2 25 | Q3 25 | Status | Owner | Date of last assessment | Reassessment Date | Forward look to Q4 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14/12/2023 | Total programme risk profile | Programme delay or failure. Potential loss of match funding or partner support. Risk profile had increased from green to amber following notification from Transport Scotland that design stage funding is not available in 2024⁄25 | 5 | 2 | 10 | Improving | Risk escalation to Scottish Government. Risk decreased from amber to green for the next stage. | Amber | Amber | Green | OPEN | David Clyne | 30/10/2025 | 30/01/2026 | Transport Scotland design funding now approved No significant financial issues at this stage. |
| 2 | 14/12/2023 | Future funding profile | Insufficient match funding to meet agreed commitments. Risk profile was at amber following notification from Transport Scotland that design stage funding is not available in 2024⁄25. | 5 | 2 | 10 | Improving | Active Communities project risk profile has decreased from amber to green following successfual award from Transport Scotland. New governance structures are helping to identify and quickly resolve risks as they arrise. Contracts for Nethy and Newtonmore are to be actioned. Funding applications for the next stage of Transport Scotland designs are progressed and discussed with the funder. Quarterly cash flow and match funding monitoring review with project leads and finance team. | Amber | Amber | Green | OPEN | David Clyne | 30/10/2025 | 30/01/2026 | Quarterly cash flow and match funding monitoring review with project leads and finance team. |
| 3 | 14/12/2023 | Finance: impact on Park Authority budget management | Park Authority spend agreed at £450k pa. | 4 | 1 | 4 | No change | The potential financial implications for C2030 programme delivery will be a key element of 25⁄26 budget scenario plans as board and management consider deployment of financial allocations for the next financial year | Green | Green | Green | OPEN | David Clyne | 30/10/2025 | 30/01/2026 | Park Authority prepared to increase its core match funding in 25⁄26 to progress transport project if required |
| 4 | 14/12/2023 | Procurement standards | All contracts must meet PCS Procurement standards. Possible legal challenge if regulations not met. | 3 | 2 | 6 | Improving | Procurement standards and project initiation approvals are being revised to improve compliance and decision making. All staff in post win monthly 1 – 1 acvelopment reviews. | Green | Green | Green | OPEN | David Clyne | 30/10/2025 | 30/01/2026 | Successful management of Transport ITTs is enhancing delivery and reducing contract disputes |
| 5 | 14/12/2023 | Staffing | Insufficient staff in post impacts project delivery, timescales and outcomes | 4 | 2 | 8 | Improving | Staff retention plans and succession planning Training and skills development discussed with staff and delivered. | Amber | Green | Green | OPEN | David Clyne | 30/10/2025 | 30/01/2026 | Full staff compliment is retained. |
| 7 | 14/12/2023 | Delivery of Sustrans/Transport Scotland funded projects | Sustrans/active travel match funding for the programme is not secured at the values or within the timelines required to achieve project objectives. | 5 | 2 | 10 | Improving | Transport Scotland design funding now approved for the next stage. Timescale for delivery (under 6 months) retains amber delivery risk. New governance and risk reporting strcutures have been introduced. Local Authroity partners now sit on project board to resolve issues as they arise. | Amber | Red | Amber | OPEN | David Clyne | 30/10/2025 | 30/01/2026 | Transport projects delivering to plan. |