ARC Paper 6 Annex 2 Cairngorms 2030 Risk management

Cairngorms 2030: Risk man­age­ment Pro­ject: C2030 Pro­gramme Pro­ject Man­ager: Dav­id Clyne Job title: Head of Cairngorms 2030 Date of last risk review: 22-Feb-24

Cairngorms 2030: Pro­gramme risk Peri­od: Q1 2026

Like­li­hood 1: Rare (Low) 2: Unlikely (Low) 3: Pos­sible 4: Likely (High) 5: Almost

Out­come 1: Minor 2: Mod­er­ate 3: Sig­ni­fic­ant 4: Major 5: Catastrophic

No.	Date	Risk Descrip­tion	Impact Descrip­tion	Impact Level	Prob­ab­il­ity Level	Pri­or­ity	Trend	Mit­ig­a­tion Strategy	Q1 25	Q2 25	Q3 25	Q4 25	Q1 26	Status	Own­er	Date of last assess­ment	Reas­sess­ment Date	For­ward look to Q2 26
7	14/12/2023	Deliv­ery of Sustrans/​Transport Scot­land fun­ded pro­jects match fund­ing for the pro­gramme is not secured at the val­ues or with­in the timelines required to achieve pro­ject objectives.	Times­cale for deliv­ery retains amber deliv­ery risk. Trans­port Scotland/​active travel.	5	2	10	Improv­ing	Trans­port Scot­land design fund­ing applic­a­tions have been sub­mit­ted for next stage. Design con­sult­ants retained to pro­gress pro­jects between TS fund­ing stages. Park CEO rais­ing issues with Scot­tish Gov­ern­ment for early fund­ing con­firm­a­tion NLHF briefed on deliv­ery options and poten­tial impacts. A repri­or­it­isa­tion of trans­port theme pro­jects will be com­pleted by August / Septem­ber once Trans­port Scot­land fund­ing decisions are communicated.	Amber	Red	Amber	Amber	Amber	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	14/05/2026	31/07/2026	Pro­gramme will have clear­er pos­i­tion on TS fund­ing timeline. Trans­port pro­ject pri­or­it­ies review in pro­gress to respond to fund­ing position.
1	14/12/2023	Total pro­gramme risk profile	Pro­gramme delay or fail­ure. Poten­tial loss of match fund­ing or part­ner support.	5	2	10	Improv­ing	Trans­port Scot­land design fund­ing applic­a­tions sub­mit­ted. Poten­tial risk escal­a­tion to Scot­tish Gov­ern­ment. An updated cost now has been developed which assumes fund­ing will be received in future quarters.	Amber	Amber	Green	Green	Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	14/05/2026	31/07/2026	Future risk is set at amber giv­en uncer­tain­ties around trans­port fund­ing ref­er­enced above and oth­er part­ner fund­ing streams which remain to be finalised.
2	14/12/2023	Future fund­ing profile	Insuf­fi­cient match fund­ing to meet agreed commitments.	5	2	10	Improv­ing	A full fin­an­cial reapprais­al will be under­taken in August/​September when key fund­ing decisions on trans­port and oth­er pro­ject areas will be bet­ter under­stood. Altern­at­ive match fund­ing options for wood­land expan­sion are being pro­gressed. Seni­or man­agers now chas­ing out­stand­ing match fund­ing com­mit­ment. Quarterly cash flow and match fund­ing mon­it­or­ing review has been delivered with pro­ject leads and fin­ance team.	Amber	Amber	Green	Green	Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	14/05/2026	31/07/2026	Match fund­ing updates or deliv­ery secured from pub­lic sec­tor partners.
3	14/12/2023	Fin­ance: impact on Park Author­ity budget management	Park Author­ity spend agreed at £450k pa.	4	1	4	Improv­ing	Pro­cure­ment stand­ards and pro­ject ini­ti­ation approvals are being revised to improve com­pli­ance and decision making.	Green	Green	Green	Green	Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	14/05/2026	31/07/2026	Over­all budget man­age­ment impacts remain with­in the total agreed budget.
4	14/12/2023	Pro­cure­ment standards	All con­tracts must meet PCS stand­ards. Pos­sible leg­al chal­lenge if reg­u­la­tions not met.	3	2	6	Improv­ing	Work­plans for 26⁄27 in place.	Green	Green	Green	Green	Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	14/05/2026	31/07/2026	Pro­cure­ment sched­ule for Q2 2026 in place.
5	14/12/2023	Staff­ing	Insuf­fi­cient staff in post impacts pro­ject deliv­ery, times­cales and outcomes.	4	2	8	Improv­ing	All staff in post with monthly 1 – 1 devel­op­ment reviews. Train­ing and skills devel­op­ment dis­cussed with staff and delivered.	Amber	Green	Green	Green	Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	14/05/2026	31/07/2026	No staff resource issues.