Paper 9 Annex 2 C2030 Strategic risk register

Cairngorms 2030: Pro­gramme risk Peri­od: Q3 2024

Paper 9 Annex 1 13 March 2026

Risk No.	ID	Date	Risk Descrip­tion	Impact Descrip­tion	Impact Level	Prob­ab­il­ity Level	Pri­or­ity Level	Trend	Mit­ig­a­tion Strategy	Agreed RAG Status	Status	Own­er	Date of last assess­ment	Reas­sess­ment Date	For­ward look to Q1 26
1	14/12/2023	Total pro­gramme risk profile	Pro­gramme delay or fail­ure. Poten­tial loss of match fund­ing or part­ner sup­port. No sig­ni­fic­ant fin­an­cial issues at this stage.	5	2	10	Improv­ing	Risk escal­a­tion to Scot­tish Gov­ern­ment. Trans­port Scot­land design fund­ing now approved for the next stage. Risk decreased from amber to green.	Q1 25: Amber	Q2 25: Amber	Q3 25: Green	Q4 25: Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	30/01/2026	30/04/2026	Fund­ing applic­a­tions for next stage sub­mit­ted to Trans­port Scotland
2	14/12/2023	Future fund­ing profile	Risk pro­file had increased from green to amber fol­low­ing noti­fic­a­tion from Trans­port Scot­land that design stage fund­ing is not avail­able in 2024⁄25. Insuf­fi­cient match fund­ing to meet agreed com­mit­ments. Risk pro­file was at amber fol­low­ing noti­fic­a­tion from Trans­port Scot­land that design stage fund­ing is not avail­able in 2024⁄25.	5	2	10	Improv­ing	Act­ive Com­munit­ies pro­ject risk pro­file has decreased from amber to green fol­low­ing suc­cess­ful award from Trans­port Scot­land. New gov­ernance struc­tures are help­ing to identi­fy and quickly resolve risks as they arise. Con­tracts for Nethy and New­ton­more are to be actioned. Fund­ing applic­a­tions for the next stage of Trans­port Scot­land designs are pro­gressed and dis­cussed with the funder.	Q1 25: Amber	Q2 25: Amber	Q3 25: Green	Q4 25: Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	30/01/2026	30/04/2026	Trans­port Scot­land fun­ded pro­jects are under­way with no sig­ni­fic­ant delays iden­ti­fied. Fund­ing applic­a­tions for next stage sub­mit­ted to Trans­port Scotland
3	14/12/2023	Fin­ance: impact on Park Author­ity budget management	Park Author­ity spend agreed at £450k pa.	4	1	4	Improv­ing	Quarterly cash flow and match fund­ing mon­it­or­ing review with pro­ject leads and fin­ance team. The poten­tial fin­an­cial implic­a­tions for C2030 pro­gramme deliv­ery will be a key ele­ment of 25⁄26 budget scen­ario plans as board and man­age­ment con­sider deploy­ment of fin­an­cial alloc­a­tions for the next fin­an­cial year.	Q1 25: Green	Q2 25: Green	Q3 25: Green	Q4 25: Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	30/01/2026	30/04/2026	Park Author­ity pre­pared to increase its core match fund­ing in 25⁄26 to pro­gress trans­port pro­ject if required
4	14/12/2023	Pro­cure­ment standards	All con­tracts must meet PCS stand­ards. Pos­sible leg­al chal­lenge if reg­u­la­tions not met.	3	2	6	Improv­ing	Pro­cure­ment stand­ards and pro­ject ini­ti­ation approvals are being revised to improve com­pli­ance and decision making.	Q1 25: Green	Q2 25: Green	Q3 25: Green	Q4 25: Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	30/01/2026	30/04/2026	Suc­cess­ful man­age­ment of Trans­port ITTs is enhan­cing deliv­ery and redu­cing con­tract disputes
5	14/12/2023	Staff­ing	Insuf­fi­cient staff in post impacts pro­ject deliv­ery, times­cales and outcomes.	4	2	8	Improv­ing	Staff reten­tion plans and suc­ces­sion plan­ning reviews. Train­ing and skills devel­op­ment dis­cussed with staff and delivered.	Q1 25: Amber	Q2 25: Green	Q3 25: Green	Q4 25: Green	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	30/01/2026	30/04/2026	Full staff com­pli­ment is retained.
7	14/12/2023	Deliv­ery of Sustrans/​Transport Scot­land fun­ded projects	Scope change to Aviemore pro­ject agreed with NLHF and Sustrans/​active travel match fund­ing for the pro­gramme is not secured at the val­ues or with­in the timelines required to achieve pro­ject objectives.	5	2	10	Improv­ing	Trans­port Scot­land design fund­ing now approved for the next stage. Times­cale for deliv­ery (under 6 months) retains pro­jects deliv­er­ing to plan. Pro­ject costs for next stage to be con­firmed end March 26. New gov­ernance and risk report­ing struc­tures have been intro­duced. Loc­al Author­ity part­ners now sit on pro­ject board to resolve issues as they arise.	Q1 25: Amber	Q2 25: Red	Q3 25: Amber	Q4 25: Amber	OPEN	Dav­id Clyne	30/01/2026	30/04/2026	Fund­ing applic­a­tions for next stage sub­mit­ted to Trans­port Scotland